1/N Calculator

The current portfolio divided evenly across the years left in the plan, which runs the balance down to roughly zero at the end.

Part of the FIRE simulator, a historical backtest calculator that replays your plan across every rolling window of market history since 1871.

How the 1/N strategy works

Each year the withdrawal is the portfolio balance divided by the number of years remaining, so the share taken starts small and grows as the horizon shortens: 1/30 of the balance with 30 years left, 1/2 with two years left. It is a self-liquidating annuity with no insurer and no assumed return behind it. The final year’s withdrawal takes whatever is left.

What the 1/N strategy trades off

1/N spends a balance down to roughly zero by a fixed end date, which is what bridging to a pension or a Social Security start needs and why it leaves nothing for a bequest. Withdrawals grow sharply as the horizon closes, and the final years are the most volatile.

Pros and cons

Pros

  • Naturally spends the portfolio down over a fixed horizon
  • Requires no return assumptions
  • Front-loads less than a fixed percentage early on

Cons

  • Spending grows sharply and becomes volatile near the end
  • Not designed to preserve capital or leave a legacy
  • Assumes a hard end date

Parameters you can adjust

This strategy has no adjustable parameters. It runs from your portfolio, allocation, and starting withdrawal alone.

Backtest 1/N against market history

Opens the simulator with 1/N already selected, so you only set your portfolio and horizon.

Run the 1/N simulation